The	Defeat	of	Barisan	Nasional:	Missed	Signs	or	Late	Surge?
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The Defeat of Barisan Nasional: Missed Signs or Late Surge?

by Francis E. Hutchinson, Lee Hwok Aun

The results of Malaysia’s 14th General Elections of May 2018 were unexpected and transformative. Against conventional wisdom, the newly reconfigured opposition grouping Pakatan Harapan (PH) decisively defeated the incumbent Barisan Nasional (BN), ending six decades of uninterrupted dominant one-party rule. 

Despite a long-running financial scandal dogging the ruling coalition, pollsters and commentators predicted a solid BN victory or, at least, a narrow parliamentary majority. Yet, on the day, deeply rooted political dynamics and influential actors came together, sweeping aside many prevailing assumptions and reconfiguring the country’s political reality in the process. 

In order to understand the elections and their implications, this edited volume brings together contributions from ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute researchers and a group of selected collaborators to examine the elections from three angles: campaign dynamics; important trends among major interest groups; and local-level developments in key states. This analytical work is complemented by personal narratives from a selection of GE-14 participants.

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Preliminary pages
INTRODUCTION
1. 9 May 2018: The Unexpected
PART I: CAMPAIGN DYNAMICS
2. Against the Odds: Malaysia’s Electoral Process and Pakatan Harapan’s Unlikely Victory
3. Winning Elections by Rigging Borders? Barisan Nasional’s Brazen, and Failed, Attempt
4. Economic Dynamics and the GE-14 Surprise: Statistics, Realities, Sentiments
5. Economic Voting and the End of Dominant Party Rule in Malaysia
6. Money, Malfeasance, and a Malaysian Election
PART II: INTEREST GROUPS
7. The Rural Malay Voter in GE-14: Expectations, Surprise, and Misgivings
8. From Council Flats to Government Quarters: GE-14 in Urban Malay Constituencies
9. The Making and Breaking of Malaysia’s FELDA Vote Bank
10. Social Transformation and the Consolidation of Chinese Votes for Regime Change
11. Indian Voters in GE-14: Finding a New Voice?
PART III: STATES
12. Selangor: Pakatan’s Home Advantage, Barisan’s Hollow Tactics, PAS’ Hardy Base
13. GE-14 in Johor: Shock or Just Awe?
14. Kelantan: PAS Settles in on the Balcony of Mecca
15. Sarawak: An Electoral Tremor with Far-Reaching Consequences?
16. Sabah: the End of BN and a New Order?
PART IV: PERSONAL PERSPECTIVES
17. Lembah Pantai, Kuala Lumpur: And Together, We Will Fell Goliath!
18. Kapayan, Sabah: Silent Winds of Change
19. Pasir Gudang, Johor: Fortitude Amid Defeat
20. Ketari, Pahang: Protest and Loyalty, Confidence and Desperation
21. Cempaka, Selangor: Keeping the Faith
22. Big Data and Bold Calls: How INVOKE Saw What Everyone Missed
CONCLUSION
23. Missed Signs or Late Surge?
Index
Endpaper Maps

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Product Details

  • Number of Pages : 509
  • Publisher : ISEAS
  • Weight : 900g
  • Product Code : 9789814843898
  • Dimension : 172 x 254 x 24 mm